FTSE 100 Outlook: Market Volatility and Key Trends to Watch in December 2024

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By Liam O'Connor

FTSE 100’s Potential Mixed Feeling as December Begins
Holdings and broad-market FTSE 100 index begin the trading month of December 2024 in somewhat mixed territory, thanks to lingering global risks. Even though the index was rising in late November, it has turned rather shaky as investors scrutinize the effects of several global and domestic factors. The ongoing Asia’s economic indicators, the global energy crisis and the pound up and down affecting the index are among the factors that we dissect in this article.

Effect of the Global Economic Indicators on FTSE 100

As one of the broadest and oldest global stock indices, FTSE100 is regarded widely as the indicator of the market trends. Because the index is hyper-sensitive to global growth indicators, December will likely be dominated by data points such as China’s industrial output and other embodiments of future central bank actions from the likes of the Fed and the ECB.

China’s Economic Struggles: Data of China’s factory output has been disappointing which is deepening the doubts about its recovery path. The low levels of manufacturing indicate underlying problems with the supply chain and these problems may befall companies with a large amount of their shares listed in the UK and operations in China. As reported by The Standard, these concerns are putting some pressure on commodities and related stocks, most of which constitute the FTSE 100.

U.S. and European Central Bank Policies: Global interest rates and inflation expectation also remain an essential factor that will be influential in the investor behaviors. As the IG report puts it, continued decisions to retain tight monetary stringency by the Fed and ECB can increase the market volatility particularly of the tech as well as the financial stocks. A more constrained environment overseas may dampen UK corporate earnings and increase all investors’ concerns.

Domestic Influences: Pound, house prices and consumer sentiment showed that the units of analysis were the external conditions affecting purchasing.
However, there are domestic forces that continue to influence the returns of the FTSE 100 though there is a global influence. Yahoo Finance reveals that pound volatility with the dollar continues to be another of the main concerns when it comes to investment. As the pound gains ground, its procurement power in overseas business weakens; EU based corporations, particularly the consumer good and energy providers are most affected.

House Prices and Consumer Sentiment: At home, property prices especially house have been increasing, a sign that there might be a housing bubble. This could potentially result to lowered consumer confidence and spend in the long-run. The Standard has observed that even slightest indications of a housing sluggishness may affect the UK economy perhaps dragging specifically the retails and banking industries that are well特sbed in the FTSE 100.

FTSE 100 as pertaining the trends of the International Market

And as we progress through December, the FTSE 100 response is expected to follow similar patterns in global markets. The S&P 500 index has lately demonstrated significant growth; therefore, people wonder if the same situation can occur in the European area. IG’s rating reveals that both the FTSE 100 and DAX 40 remain close to their November highs, pointing towards a very positive end of year momentum – but the question in everyone’s mind would be whether this positive momentum will continue into the holiday month of December.

Most analysts opine that towards the end of the year the FTSE 100 will experience the so-called ‘Santa boost’ and Christmas period trading. These trends are therefore likely to be a boon and a bane for investors. However, IG highlighted geopolitical risks that may keep a market rally in check as well as constant disruptions in global supply chains.

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