Gold Price Forecast: What to Expect as Market Waits for US Labor Data

Photo of author

By Daniel Alvarez

Gold Price Remains Steady before Key Figures Emerge
As December comes, gold prices have come to a range-bound market. From the FXStreet: The price of gold in the US dollars currency trading pair of XAU/USD has been trading in a range of $2,640 with more lateral movements than directional force. DE Buyers look tentative, with many participants choosing to sit on the sidelines until the Non-Farm Payroll report from the US. This critical data will shed some light on the health of the US economy and may go a long way to dictate the next direction for gold.

It is well-known fact that during the economic crisis, gold is considered safe-haven and at present, gold is in wait and watch mode before the release of more significant economic figures. Ails and bears are poised to make their decisions based on the information coming bundled with the next reports.

US Labor Data: If true, then one wonders, What is the trigger that is going to signal gold’s next move?
The US labor Market data especially the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) is expected to cause high volatility in the gold price. On employment front, as highlighted by FXStreet anything that paints the picture of employment strength will back the Federal Fund’s rate view thereby exerting bearish pressure on gold prices. On the other hand, softer than anticipated labor figures might drive gold as a safe haven asset given lingering worries about slowdowns.

Markets are fully conscious that robust jobs data can create anticipation of a rate hike, which would boost the dollar and decrease demand for gold. On the flip side, a terrible figure on jobs may fuel inflation fears and lift gold because the yellow metal offers safe-haven status.

Gold Prices Holding Support Levels

As FXEmpires forecasts, gold prices are currently holding steady above critical support levels. Specifically, the $2,635 mark remains a key level of interest. Gold prices have managed to stay above this level for several days, despite lackluster movement in either direction. This stability is significant, as a break below this support level could signal further declines. However, for now, gold buyers are finding solace in these relatively stable levels, waiting for a catalyst that could drive prices either higher or lower.

Gold’s inability to move decisively either way underscores the market’s indecision. With a strong focus on economic data, it is clear that gold’s trajectory in the near term will hinge on external factors, such as the outcome of the US labor data and broader global economic trends.

What’s Next for Gold: Market Predictions

As we head toward the latter half of 2024, market experts are cautious but optimistic about gold’s long-term outlook. CBS News highlights that gold is expected to remain relatively volatile in the short term but could see significant upside if global economic risks intensify. With inflationary pressures still a concern in many countries, the demand for gold as a hedge against currency devaluation could keep the metal buoyed over time.

However, for those with a shorter-term trading horizon, the immediate future looks uncertain. According to FXStreet, gold prices are likely to experience increased volatility as the market digests fresh economic data, especially from the US.

Key Takeaways: What Investors Should Watch
Gold traders should keep an eye on the following key points in the coming days:

US Labor Market Report: The NFP report will be the primary catalyst for movement in gold prices. Strong jobs data may push gold lower, while weak data could lead to a rally.

Support and Resistance Levels: For now, gold is holding steady around $2,640 with critical support at $2,635. A break below these levels could indicate further downside.

Interest Rates and Inflation: The Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates will continue to influence gold’s long-term prospects. Higher rates generally reduce demand for gold, while economic slowdowns or inflationary fears could see gold prices climb.

Leave a Comment